The bullwhip effect, demand uncertainty, and cost structure

Delayed demand information and dampened bullwhip effect

This paper considers an inventory setting in which the historical data used for demand forecasting is delayed. When the replenishment is controlled via an order-up-to policy, we show that such delays reduce the variability of the order history and dampen the bullwhip effect. We discuss the intuition behind this result. (Key Terms: Information delay; Forecasting; Supply Chain Management; Bullwhi...

Analyzing Bullwhip Effect in Supply Networks under Exogenous Uncertainty

This paper explains a model for analyzing and measuring the propagation of order amplifications (i.e. bullwhip effect) for a single-product supply network topology considering exogenous uncertainty and linear and time-invariant inventory management policies for network entities. The stream of orders placed by each entity of the network is characterized assuming customer demand is ergodic. In fa...

Investigation the Combination of the Bullwhip Effect Weakening and the Anti-Bullwhip Effect Strengthen

the underlying structure of language proficiency and the proficiency level

هدف از انجام این تخقیق بررسی رابطه احتمالی بین سطح مهارت زبان خارجی (foreign language proficiency) و ساختار مهارت زبان خارجی بود. تعداد 314 زبان آموز مونث و مذکر که عمدتا دانشجویان رشته های زبان انگلیسی در سطوح کارشناسی و کارشناسی ارشد بودند در این تحقیق شرکت کردند. از لحاظ سطح مهارت زبان خارجی شرکت کنندگان بسیار با هم متفاوت بودند، (75 نفر سطح پیشرفته، 113 نفر سطح متوسط، 126 سطح مقدماتی). کلا ...

Bullwhip Effect Measure When Supply Chain Demand is Forecasting

Demand fluctuations in the supply chain lead to uncertainty in inventory policy and thereupon the inventory costs increase. This paper considers the impact of forecasting on the demand variation in a serial three-stage supply chain including a retailer, a manufacturer and a supplier. Four forecasting methods are considered and demand variations evaluated as bullwhip effect measure. We use analy...